Will the SNB rock the swissie with a huge 100 bps rate hike?
The Swiss National Bank is expected to step up its fight against inflation when it sets its benchmark interest rate on Thursday at 07:30 GMT. The consensus points to a full percentage point increase and policymakers may have a good reason to listen to investors and boost the already strong swissie. Currency advantage Excluding the US dollar, the Swiss franc has been outperforming other major currencies since the start of the year, beating the euro and the pound by 6% and 10% respectively. Given that the eurozone market accounts for 55% of Swiss exports, a strengthening currency would normally motivate some negative verbal intervention from SNB policymakers to balance the unwanted appreciation in FX markets and keep products competitive abroad. Circumstances, however, are different now. Inflation keeps trending at multi-decade highs around the globe in the face of post-pandemic supply constraints and the war in Ukraine, and a dynamic currency is something every nation would des...